Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.118189 0.131692 0.145504 0.160649 0.176752 0.193324 0.211633
2024-10-20 0.100193 0.118736 0.138400 0.160679 0.185094 0.210916 0.240175
2024-10-27 0.085779 0.107607 0.131524 0.159402 0.190740 0.224632 0.263813
2024-11-03 0.075885 0.100331 0.127923 0.160894 0.198767 0.240490 0.289515
2024-11-10 0.069072 0.095836 0.126859 0.164747 0.209077 0.258670 0.317726
2024-11-17 0.061189 0.089293 0.122776 0.164567 0.214352 0.270876 0.339033
2024-11-24 0.056530 0.086243 0.122493 0.168575 0.224292 0.288313 0.366289
2024-12-01 0.051147 0.081780 0.120085 0.169693 0.230566 0.301334 0.388367
2024-12-08 0.045738 0.076807 0.116653 0.169226 0.234679 0.311636 0.407162
2024-12-15 0.041540 0.073093 0.114532 0.170143 0.240286 0.323586 0.427828
2024-12-22 0.037112 0.068677 0.111186 0.169247 0.243454 0.332472 0.444767
2024-12-29 0.034693 0.066922 0.111217 0.172567 0.251792 0.347565 0.469126
2025-01-05 0.031394 0.063687 0.109164 0.173185 0.256847 0.358878 0.489281
2025-01-12 0.028158 0.060258 0.106624 0.172988 0.260747 0.368711 0.507636
2025-01-19 0.024861 0.056423 0.103272 0.171506 0.262851 0.376228 0.523124
2025-01-26 0.022721 0.054260 0.102174 0.172975 0.268712 0.388397 0.544320
2025-02-02 0.021436 0.053412 0.102926 0.176947 0.277839 0.404683 0.570648
2025-02-09 0.019207 0.050712 0.100756 0.176720 0.281335 0.413817 0.588112
2025-02-16 0.018211 0.050122 0.101724 0.180886 0.290674 0.430389 0.614877
2025-02-23 0.016618 0.048269 0.100637 0.182040 0.295923 0.441727 0.635123
2025-03-02 0.014819 0.045825 0.098479 0.181541 0.298862 0.450057 0.651584
2025-03-09 0.013467 0.044106 0.097373 0.182493 0.303725 0.460844 0.671143
2025-03-16 0.011888 0.041728 0.095055 0.181552 0.305916 0.468122 0.686245